Assume we know with certainty all variables except unit sales, which could range from 900 to 1,600.

Scenario Probability NPV(000)

Worst 0.25 $ 15

Base 0.50 82

Best 0.25 148

E(NPV) = $ 82

?NPV) = 47

CV(NPV) = ?(NPV)/E(NPV) = 0.57

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