Philosophy Talks

Julia Staffel (Washington U), Thursday, December 1, 3:30pm, Clark 214.  

Three Puzzles about Lotteries

Abstract: I examine how well two formal theories of the relation between rational belief and rational credence can accommodate three related puzzles about lotteries. The theories under consideration are Leitgeb’s stability theory of belief and Lin & Kelly’s odds threshold rule, and the puzzles are Kyburg’s lottery paradox, the Harman-Vogel paradox, and the statistical evidence problem.

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